Key takeaways:
In 2025, glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists may gain FDA approval for new uses. Examples include chronic kidney disease and certain types of heart failure and liver disease.
New injectable GLP-1s are advancing through clinical trials. CagriSema (cagrilintide / semaglutide) is among the furthest along, showing greater weight loss than Wegovy (semaglutide). Its manufacturer is expected to file for approval in late 2025.
Oral GLP-1 options have also been gaining traction. A higher dose of Rybelsus (semaglutide) could be approved for weight loss in 2025, depending on when the application is submitted. And late-stage clinical trial data on orforglipron is also expected.
Insurance coverage policies for GLP-1 medications may shift in 2025, driven by factors such as new uses and insurer decisions.
Originally developed for Type 2 diabetes, glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists have transformed the weight-loss medication market. And in recent years, their popularity has soared due to their effectiveness and versatility.
As we look ahead into 2025, several key trends are set to redefine the GLP-1 landscape — from broadening applications to shifts in coverage. Here’s a closer look at what to expect.
GLP-1 receptor agonists mimic a natural gut hormone in the body called GLP-1. GLP-1 is involved in regulating blood glucose (sugar), appetite, and digestion. GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonists work in a similar way. But they mimic GLP-1 and a second hormone called glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP) for added benefits.
Most GLP-1s are injectables. But one oral option, Rybelsus (semaglutide), is available. Currently, there are 10 FDA-approved GLP-1 medications:
Active ingredient | Brand name(s) for Type 2 diabetes | Brand name for weight loss |
---|---|---|
Semaglutide | ||
Tirzepatide* | ||
Liraglutide | ||
Dulaglutide | N/A | |
Byetta, Bydureon BCise | N/A |
*Considered a GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist
Next, let’s explore five GLP-1 trends to watch in 2025.
GLP-1 medications are primarily used for Type 2 diabetes, weight loss, and to lower the risk of serious cardiovascular events. And recently, Zepbound was approved for obstructive sleep apnea. But they could gain approval for new uses in 2025, including:
Chronic kidney disease (CKD): Ozempic is under FDA review for CKD in people with Type 2 diabetes, with a decision expected in January 2025. Studies show it can lower the risk of major kidney disease-related events by 24%.
Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF): Semaglutide and tirzepatide have significant potential for HFpEF in people with a larger body size. Obesity is a potential cause of HFpEF and can worsen symptoms, making GLP-1s a natural fit for treatment. Tirzepatide’s manufacturer submitted an application for HFpEF in late 2024, with potential approval in 2025. Semaglutide’s manufacturer plans to follow suit in early 2025.
Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH): GLP-1s are showing potential to reduce liver inflammation caused by MASH, a health condition related to excess fat in liver cells. Semaglutide’s manufacturer plans to submit an application for MASH approval in early 2025. And positive results from tirzepatide’s phase 2 trial may lead to further development.
Examples of other potential uses under investigation include early Alzheimer’s disease, polycystic ovary syndrome, and substance use disorders.
Several promising injectable GLP-1 therapies are in development, with the potential to deliver even better results. Of these, CagriSema appears to be among the furthest along.
CagriSema is semaglutide co-administered with cagrilintide. Cagrilintide is a new, long-acting medication that acts like amylin. Amylin is a hormone that helps promote fullness after meals. The effects of semaglutide with amylin appear to be greater than either medication on its own.
GLP-1 savings guide: Learn about ways to save on glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) medications, like Ozempic (semaglutide), with GoodRx discounts, copay savings cards, and more.
Is semaglutide in shortage? Learn more about why semaglutide is in shortage and when the shortage could resolve.
Next generation weight-loss pills: Orforglipron and danuglipron are two oral GLP-1 medications in development. Here’s what you should know about “gliprons" for weight loss.
In clinical trials, CagriSema helped people lose nearly 23% of their starting body weight over 68 weeks — more than Wegovy’s 16% weight loss. The manufacturer is planning a new trial in the first half of 2025 and expects to file for approval later in the year.
Additionally, head-to-head trial results comparing CagriSema to tirzepatide, the current leader in weight-loss effectiveness, are expected in 2025. CagriSema is also being studied for weight loss in people with Type 2 diabetes and for cardiovascular benefits in people with heart disease.
Other promising injectable GLP-1 medications advancing through clinical trials include:
Not everyone is comfortable with giving themselves shots, which makes oral GLP-1 medications an appealing alternative. Today, Rybelsus is the only oral GLP-1 receptor agonist available. But additional options are also on the horizon.
Higher Rybelsus doses: Rybelsus is currently approved in doses up to 14 mg for Type 2 diabetes. But higher doses (25 mg, 50 mg) are being studied for weight loss and improved diabetes management. These doses have shown weight-loss results comparable to the highest Wegovy dose. They were also superior to the 14 mg dose for diabetes. FDA approval for higher doses could come as early as 2025, depending on when the application is submitted.
Orforglipron: Unlike peptide-based GLP-1s, orforglipron is made using chemicals. This can make it easier and less expensive to produce. Phase 3 trial results are expected in 2025. If successful, orforglipron could offer a lower-cost oral alternative.
For many people, the cost of GLP-1 medications can be a barrier to accessing them. One way to address this is through lower-cost generics. In 2024, the first two generic GLP-1s were approved: exenatide (Byetta) and liraglutide (Victoza). And we could see additional Victoza generics in 2025.
Teva Pharmaceuticals launched an authorized generic of Victoza, a once-daily GLP-1 medication, in June 2024. This product is the exact same medication as Victoza, but without the brand name. And in December 2024, the FDA approved the first Victoza generic, manufactured by Hikma Pharmaceuticals. This was shortly after the FDA approved the first generic of Byetta, a twice-daily GLP-1 medication.
Several other manufacturers have requested approval for their Victoza generics, including Sandoz and Viatris (formerly Mylan). It’s possible that these generics could be approved and launched in 2025. But generics for newer GLP-1s like Ozempic likely won’t happen until at least 2030.
Insurance coverage for GLP-1 medications is expected to shift in 2025. This may be due to factors such as broadening applications, policy proposals, and decisions by various insurers.
Coverage for new indications: Approvals for CKD, HFpEF, and MASH could lead to broader insurance coverage. For example, insurers began covering Wegovy for some people with heart disease after it was approved to reduce cardiovascular risks in 2024.
Dropped coverage for weight loss: High costs and discontinuation rates are leading some insurers to cut back on weight-loss drug coverage. Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan and Independence Blue Cross, for instance, will stop covering GLP-1s for weight loss in certain plans starting January 2025. And Kaiser Permanente is dropping GLP-1 coverage for people with a body mass index below 40 when the medications are used solely for weight loss.
Proposed Medicare and Medicaid coverage: The Biden administration has proposed a rule to expand Medicare and Medicaid coverage of GLP-1s to include weight loss. This proposal has the potential to benefit approximately 3.4 million Medicare beneficiaries and 4 million Medicaid beneficiaries. But its future remains uncertain, especially with the transition to a new administration.
Stricter utilization controls: GLP-1 access may be limited by stricter prior authorization requirements, step therapy protocols, and formulary changes going into effect in 2025. For example, the Chevron Prescription Drug Program will require active participation in a virtual health program, regular weigh-ins, and a minimum amount of weight loss for continued coverage. Another example is MassHealth, which will require people to try phentermine first before covering new GLP-1 prescriptions.
In 2025, glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists will continue to reshape the treatment landscape for Type 2 diabetes, obesity, and beyond. Expanded uses, new injections and oral options, and more generics are a few trends to watch.
The future of GLP-1 insurance coverage presents a complex picture. Cost concerns are leading some insurers to limit or drop coverage for weight loss. But there are also efforts to expand access through Medicare and Medicaid. And a growing list of indications could also broaden coverage.
Abushamat, L. A., et al. (2024). The emerging role of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology.
Aroda, V. R., et al. (2023). Efficacy and safety of once-daily oral semaglutide 25 mg and 50 mg compared with 14 mg in adults with Type 2 diabetes (PIONEER PLUS): a multicentre, randomised, phase 3b trial. The Lancet.
Beasley, D. (2023). Lilly experimental 'triple G' obesity drug leads to 24.2% weight loss in trial. Reuters.
Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan. (2024). Changes coming for select weight loss drugs for some commercial members.
Boehringer Ingelheim. (2023). Boehringer Ingelheim to advance survodutide into three global Phase III studies in obesity.
Chevron. (2025). New coverage requirements for GLP-1 medications: Chevron prescription drug program.
ClinicalTrials.gov. (n.d.). Search results: Substance use | semaglutide. National Library of Medicine.
ClinicalTrials.gov. (2024). A research study investigating semaglutide in people with early Alzheimer's disease (EVOKE). National Library of Medicine.
ClinicalTrials.gov. (2024). A research study to see how well CagriSema helps people with Type 2 diabetes and excess body weight lose weight (REDEFINE 2). National Library of Medicine.
ClinicalTrials.gov. (2024). A research study to see how well CagriSema compared to Tirzepatide helps people with obesity lose weight. National Library of Medicine.
ClinicalTrials.gov. (2024). REDEFINE 3: A research study to see the effects of CagriSema in people living with diseases in the heart and blood vessels (REDEFINE 3). National Library of Medicine.
ClinicalTrials.gov. (2024). Role of semaglutide in restoring ovulation in youth and adults with polycystic ovary syndrome (RESTORE). National Library of Medicine.
ClinicalTrials.gov. (2025). A research study to see how well CagriSema helps people with excess body weight lose weight (REDEFINE 1). National Library of Medicine.
Cubanski, J., et al. (2024). A new use for Wegovy opens the door to medicare coverage for millions of people with obesity. KFF.
D’Ascanio, A. M., et al. (2024). Cagrilintide: A long-acting amylin analog for the treatment of obesity. Cardiology in Review.
Dehestani, B., et al. (2021). Amylin as a future obesity treatment. Journal of Obesity and Metabolic Syndrome.
Drugs@FDA. (2024). Abbreviated new drug application 206697. U.S. Food and Drug Administration.
Eli Lilly and Company. (2024). Lilly's Tirzepatide reduced the risk of worsening heart failure events by 38% in adults with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and obesity. PR Newswire.
Eli Lilly and Company. (2024). Lilly's Tirzepatide was superior to placebo for MASH resolution, and more than half of patients achieved improvement in fibrosis at 52 weeks.
Fick, M., et al. (2024). Novo Nordisk shares plunge after CagriSema obesity drug trial disappoints. Reuters.
Garvey, W. T., et al. (2024). Efficacy and safety of oral semaglutide 25 mg in adults with overweight/obesity: The OASIS 4 RCT. Novo Nordisk.
Golla, M. S. G., et al. (2024). Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction (HFpEF). StatPearls.
Gregerson, E. (2024). Sandoz plans 2030 US launch for Ozempic generic. Becker’s Hospital Review.
Independence Blue Cross. (2024). Changes coming to weight loss drug coverage benefits, effective January 1, 2025.
Kaiser Permanente. (n.d.). Changes for GLP-1 drugs & other anti-obesity medications in 2025.
Kansteiner, F. (2024). Novo rekindles heart failure hopes for semaglutide with new pooled analysis. Fierce Pharma.
MassHealth. (2024). Upcoming changes to masshealth coverage of weight loss drugs.
National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases. (2021). Definition & facts of NAFLD & NASH. National Institutes of Health.
Novo Nordisk. (2023). Form 20-F 2022.
Novo Nordisk. (2024). ESSENCE Phase 3 trial results demonstrating statistically significant and superior improvements with semaglutide 2.4 mg in people with MASH presented at AASLD 2024 - The Liver Meeting. PR Newswire.
Perkovic, V., et al. (2024). Effects of semaglutide on chronic kidney disease in patients with Type 2 diabetes. The New England Journal of Medicine.
Reuters. (2024). Eli Lilly exec expects obesity pill data in April 2025.
Temporelli, P. L. (2024). Role of glucagon-like peptide-1 agonists in obesity and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. European Heart Journal Supplements.
The White House. (2024). Fact sheet: Biden-Harris Administration takes latest step to lower prescription drug costs by proposing expanded coverage of anti-obesity medications for Americans with Medicare and Medicaid.
U.S. Food and Drug Administration. (2024). FDA approves first generic of once-daily GLP-1 injection to lower blood sugar in patients with Type 2 diabetes.
U.S. Food and Drug Administration. (2024). FDA approves first medication for obstructive sleep apnea.
U.S. Food and Drug Administration. (2024). FDA approves first treatment to reduce risk of serious heart problems specifically in adults with obesity or overweight.
Viking Therapeutics. (2024). Viking Therapeutics reports new data from VK2735 obesity program at ObesityWeek 2024. PR Newswire.
Zheng, Z., et al. (2024). Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor: mechanisms and advances in therapy. Signal Transduction and Targeted Therapy.